The End of Food by Paul Roberts, Houghton Mifflin '08, $26, 390 pages, ISBN #0618606238. Index, bibliography, source notes, unillustrated.
Author Paul Roberts is all about scarcity. He's followed up his acclaimed 2005 book, The End of Oil, with The End of Food. Actually, Americans could stand to eat a lot less, but if we care about the rest of the 6.5 billion souls on the planet or the 10 billion expected by 2050, this is an important book to read. Even though we may think foreign famine doesn't affect us, remember that we're already going to war about oil; what prevents us having to take up arms to protect water and food? In a brief Q&A, Paul Roberts talks about some of the issues he's raised:
Q. The title of your new book, The End of Food, suggests a pretty bleak future. Are you arguing that we're running out of food?
A. That's part of the thesis, to be sure. For the last century, we've gone from success to success in terms of our ability to feed more people more cheaply. But in the last few decades, that trajectory has faltered under increasing economic, political, and ecological strain. Throw in rising energy costs, changing climate, and the fact that most of the population growth will occur in developing countries, where diets are still catching up with the west, particularly in terms of meat, and the picture gets pretty grim.
Q. So what are the solutions?
A. Every food problem we face today is already too complex for some simple, one-size-fits-all solution. An elegant little organic farm might be just the thing for a Northern California hobby farmer who supports himself with an office job, but it's meaningless for a dirt-poor farmer in Ethiopia. The point here is that we'll need thousands of solutions, tailored to specific places, times and needs. We'll need conceptual "hybrids" -- farms, for example, that use a mixture of older and newer methods to maximize output while minimizing impacts. We'll need new food systems -- new crops, perhaps, and new tools -- but we'll also need innovation in nonfood systems: for example, new land-use laws and transportation systems that can help boost local and regional production. We'll need to be more global, not less so, creating a more cooperative and fairer worldwide trading to supply those regions that need help. And, of course, we'll need a massive commitment for funding research to develop these new approaches.